Coming Clean on NFL Picks
I've decided to ditch the whole split-personality thing, if only for the fact that I thought it was a gimmick I didn't feel like doing this week. And besides, I was always picking through Hyde anyway, so what's the use.
That being said, I'm picking all games both straight-up and against the spread this week, so we'll see what happens. Wish me luck.
As always, home team listed second, favored team in CAPS.
Arizona at DETROIT (-3.5)
Potential for an upset this week as Joey Harrington lines up under center for the Lions. If you haven't been paying attention, this means imminent disaster, as all three top wideouts are playing hurt, and Joey Harrington is still calling himself 'Joey.' How old are we? Add to that the fact that the Lions' top rusher had 17 yards last week. That's right, in the whole game.
Still, Arizona isn't much better off, with a 2-6 record to show for an easy schedule. Sounds like Kurt Warner's going to be throwing today to only one healthy receiver. Still, he put up over 300 yards last week...
You know, it's games like this when I realize why I started the dual personality thing in the first place.
S-U: Detroit
Spread: Detroit
Final: ARI 21 DET 29.
Baltimore at JACKSONVILLE (-6.5)
You can still make a case for the Jags underachieving despite playing 2 games over .500. With Fred Taylor hurt, I don't see them making this a blowout.
Baltimore, on the other hand, is wildly underachieving with blistering success. A guy named Anthony Wright is acting as QB-- poorly, I might add-- and their once strong defense is riddled with injuries.
S-U: Jax
Spread: Ravens
Final: BAL 3 JAX 30
Houston at INDY (-17.5)
No, that's not a typo in the spread. Indy's coming off a huge moral victory at New England and all signs point to mailing this one in just enough to win it by 10. Houston is coming off a few not-that-shitty performances, albeit at home, but with Andre Johnson coming back from his injury, they should be able to cover the spread.
S-U: Colts (duh)
Spread: Texans
Final: HOU 17 IND 31
Kansas City at BUFFALO (-3)
I'm surprised the Bills are getting 3 points this week, since there's a pretty good chance they'll get killed. With Priest Holmes out for the year, the Chiefs will be playing with a well-rested Larry Johnson at tailback and a sub-par immitation of Trent Green throwing dump passes.
Of course, the Bills aren't out of the AFC East race by any means, and Willis McGahee might just be able to carry this team (at least, I hope so, because he's certainly carrying my fantasy team this week). Call this game my upset special.
S-U: KC
Spread: KC
Final: KC 3 BUF 14
Minnesota at NEW YORK GIANTS (-10)
Vikes are finally dusting the cobwebs off, peeling the rubbers off their foreheads and playing some football. Unfortunately for them, it's still pretty bad.
The Giants had a tough first half against San Fran last week but still ended up pulling off an 18 point victory, so expect them to carry that same momentum at home. Especially at home.
S-U: Giants
Spread: Giants
Final: MIN 24 NYG 21. This one hurt.
NEW ENGLAND at Miami (+3)
Playing against a solid Colts defense, the Pats still managed to pull off 21 points due to sheer determination. With a win this week they could take solid control of their division, even though they're missing 5 running backs and their entire secondary.
It makes you wonder if Hoody Bill discovered an ancient sarcophogus over the off-season and attracted some mummy's curse. What other logical explanation is there for the Patriots falling apart? Did Corey Dillon contract the ebola virus? Did the defensive backfield all pick up VD from a seedy Boston strip club? What's going on here?
Miami isn't any better, and a change at QB shouldn't do much good for them. Despite a fearsome running game, they shot themselves in the foot during a 7 point loss to Atlanta at home last week, and I doubt they'll be doing much better this week. I mean, if Michael Vick can put up 200 yards against this secondary, imagine what a fired-up Tom Brady can do.
(By the way, did you realize Ronnie Brown's on pace for 1200 yards this season?)
S-U: Pats
Spread: Pats
Final: NE 23 MIA 16
New York Jets at CAROLINA (-9)
That's funny.
S-U: Carolina
Spread: Carolina
Final: NYJ 3 CAR 30.
San Francisco at CHICAGO (-9)
I don't see the Bears' defense having any problems handling Cody Pickett in this one. If he only managed 2 field goal drives at home against the Giants last week, it's frightening to think what he'll do on the road. And not frightening in the good way.
Rookie QB Kyle Orton should be able to manage a few scores against an average defense. It's a big spread though.
S-U: Chicago
Spread: Chicago. Missed it by one stupid point. I knew that spread was too high.
Final: SF 9 CHI 17.
Post game note: Right before the game, the spread went to 13 for some reason, which I never would have picked against. I wish these things stayed static.
DENVER at Oakland (+3)
Come on, only three points? That surprises me. Denver's got a decent secondary that shouldn't have a problem covering Randy Moss-- if he even plays-- and their running game shouldn't find too many problems with a team that gave up 27 to KC last week.
S-U: Denver
Spread: Denver
Final: DEN 31 OAK 17.
Green Bay at ATLANTA (-9)
Yikes. Good luck, Pack. For a team that lost by 10 points at home to Charlie Batch, I think you've got your work cut out for you. Any truth to those TO rumors?
S-U: Atlanta
Spread: Atlanta
Final: GB 33 ATL 25. What the hell happened?z
St Louis at SEATTLE (-3.5)
The low spread against a banged up Rams team should tell you something about Seattle's 6-2 record. No, I'm not saying they're a bad team, but they might not be as good as some people think. Aside from Shaun Alexander, I mean.
On the other side, St Louis has scrapped together a 4-4 record despite losing 43 starters, their coach and a golden retriever to injuries. Now they've got Holt and Bruce back in the lineup and they're going to fight for a playoff spot. Still, the last two wins came in the dome against New Orleans and Jacksonville, neither of whom have a running back.
S-U: Hawks
Spread: Hawks
Final: STL 16 SEA 31.
Washington at Tampa Bay (0)
Even?!? Even!?!?!? What the hell are you talking about, even? How am I supposed to call the spread on an even game!??!
Buncha assholes.
S-U: Washington
Spread: Washington
Final: WAS 35 TB 36.
Cleveland at PITTSBURGH (-8)
Yeah, right.
S-U: Pitt
Spread: Pitt
Final: CLE 21 PIT 34.
Monday Night Game
Dallas at PHILLY (-3)
Dallas won the first one this year at home, and now Philly is "free" of the distraction of having the game's top receiver. And why wasn't more support coming out of the locker room for McNabb? Granted, I think TO is the second largest piece of dog shit in the universe (1st place is his agent, Drew "Can I get a Spot on Ally McBeal" Rosenhaus), but you saw how these guys performed against the Skins at home last week. Do you really expect it to be any different?
And while I'm on the topic of the Eagles, let me just say this: The Eagles were 2-0 in the playoffs last year without Owens. Then he comes back for the big game, pretending he's heroic, when really he's a step slow and the Patriots were smart to leave him in single coverage. I'm pretty convinced that he and Belichick (why can't I ever spell that guy's name?) made some sort of evil pact where TO got to play the martyr and the Pats still got their rings. Everybody brings this up, this "sacrificed his career to play in the Super Bowl" bullshit. It's bullshit. It was clearly a selfish move and it possibly cost his team the title, I don't care how much McNabb was dry-heaving. What an ass.
Where was I?
Oh yeah.
I hate the Eagles.
S-U: Dallas
Spread: Dallas
Final: DAL 21 PHI 20.
This week's record:
Straight up: 10-4
Against the spread: 8-6
posted by BJC @ 2:35 PM
Your thoughts (2 so far)
2 Comments:
Years ago, he celebrated a touchdown in Dallas by running all the way out to the 50 yard line to celebrate.
He did this twice.
The second time, one of the Cowboys defenders got a running start and tackled him. I only wished more of them had been in on the hit.
More on that- George Teague was the guy who hit him. I didn't think Owens got suspended for that move, but Teague got ejected and fined for blindsiding him.
Of course, all of the Cowboys teammates fully supported Teague, while Owens "teammates" (in quotes because how can that guy ever be part of a team) essentially called him a classless asshole.
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